All in all, not the worst that could happen
Thursday, July 31st, 2008Let’s get this out of the way right off of the bat: it sucks that the Rays were so close to being legitimate buyers at the trade deadline for the first time ever only to have it ripped away thanks to a very poorly-placed report from the guy who should be the most trustworthy source about that team. Moreover, it sucks that we were THIS close to having a player who measurably improves our lineup only to see no changes made.
That said, it probably worked out as well as it could have for the Rays.
In order to match the quality/number of prospects that the Pirates got in the Jason Bay-Manny Ramirez mega-deal, the Rays would’ve had to have given up a whole lot more than most everyone says they were willing to do. I honestly believe that if it was as simple as Reid Brignac and Jeff Niemann, Andrew would have pulled the trigger. What the Pirates got instead was the equivalent of Brignac, Niemann, Wade Davis, and probably one other player. That price would have just simply been too steep to pay. The casual Tampa Bay fan who knows nothing more than the headlines might have a hard time rationalizing it when he sees the headlines go from “Bay to the Rays” from “Bay not a Ray” but Andrew Friedman made the right call in not going any deeper into it than Niemann and Brignac.
Moreover, this deal gets Manny Ramirez out of the AL East. And, yes, I know Bay’s numbers this season are comparable to Manny’s, but there’s a certain psychological difference for an opposing team knowing that Jason Bay is cleaning up in Boston rather than Manny Ramirez. Production-wise, he might give the team very similar results (remains to be seen), but a David Ortiz-Jason Bay led attack doesn’t have the same juice that an Ortiz-Manny punch has. Next year, this works out nicely for the Red Sox because they have a cheap Jason Bay instead of nothing in left field, but for right now, it couldn’t be any better for the Rays in terms of the Red Sox standing pat or even regressing a little bit. We can worry about next year next year. Yes, Jason Bay is a very good player and should be good for the Red Sox lineup, but at the cost of Manny Ramirez? I’m willing to take my chances with that trade-off for two months.
And, let’s not forget, the Red Sox gave up some decent future pieces to make this trade, too. Craig Hansen and Brandon Moss could’ve been good players for the Sox going forward, and they aren’t there any more.
Remember, this is a Rays team that - with a TON of players underperforming - still has a 3-game lead in the division. The Red Sox didn’t improve greatly, and the Yankees’ additions of Xavier Nady, Damaso Marte, and Ivan Rodriguez don’t make them that much better than the Rays, right? I guess I could be wrong, but I still think our pitching (especially the bullpen) makes us the team to beat this season.
So the Rays remain the team to beat AND have a guy who could contend for a spot in the rotation next year and a guy who could be starting at shortstop in 2010. Not too bad, if you ask me. Plus, David Price is likely on the way sometime down the road (I still think it’ll be in the bullpen this year, but we’ll see), Justin Ruggiano is ready to be called back, and Rocco Baldelli is going to give it a go. I don’t think anyone expects Rocco to be the savior, but what does the team lose by letting him at least try? He can’t be any worse than Jonny Gomes has been, can he?
In short - is it disappointing that the Rays couldn’t pull of a deal? Yes. But kudos to Andrew Friedman for not mortgaging the future for a team that - comparatively speaking - isn’t THAT broken. Remember, we’re at least 1 (maybe 2) years ahead of plan right now and in prime position for a playoff spot. All it takes is 2 months of being better than the Red Sox and Yankees.











