Tuesday, February 26th, 2008
Continuing our player spotlight feature as we head to the season, Carlos Pena is next up on the docket. No particular reason why; I’m just choosing them at random.
Why “The Redheaded Stepchild Presents…” you may ask? Well, because Rays of Light is the red-headed stepchild of Rays blogs. SticksofFire said so themselves.
For whatever reason the MLB blogs are light years ahead of any other sports blogs and consistently provide some of the best reading out there. Rays of Light, the red-headed step child of Rays blogs, is no exception. Of interest are the player spotlights that are running now.
I actually love that description and am considering adding it to our header bar and somewhere else on the main page. Well done Ski, you’ve made me a very happy man.
2007: At this point, I’m not really sure there are any words I could write about Carlos Pena’s 2007 season that haven’t already been written. He was an absolute beast. In some ways, you could make the argument that his overall value to the Rays was greater than that of Alex Rodriguez to the Yankees - and thus - he was the league’s most valuable player. In a nutshell, there was no single player who did more for the Rays in 2007 than Carlos Pena did
The numbers leap off the page at you: .282/.411/.627, OPS+ of 172, 46 HR, 121 RBI. His WARP was 11.9. His VORP was 68.5. Do you get the point yet? Oh, and he stole a base, too.
This all came from a guy who - in March - was battling with Greg Norton and Hee-Seop Choi for the final spot in the roster. And, let’s face it, most of us didn’t even give him a chance. Look here, for instance; just a week before the season started and he wasn’t included in my list of guys who should make the Opening Day roster. I went back even futher, and his name really never came up in any significant way during other March posts. Isn’t it crazy how a year can change things?
And it’s not like Pena was just handed the first base job right away, either. He only started 13 games in April, and was bounced between the 2, 6, 7, and 8 spots in the order. Even more telling: the Rays used Elijah Dukes to pinch hit for him during his first game of the season. And, no, it wasn’t because it was a blowout; it was because the Rays wanted to get Dukes’ bat in there instead of Pena’s. I repeat: “Isn’t it crazy how a year can change things?”
And, just to round things out, he also played his usual top-notch defense over at first base.
2008: For his efforts, Pena was given a crisp new 3-year contract and doesn’t have to fight with anyone but himself for the first base job. Obviously there is a gigantic question about whether or not 2007 was just a statistical aberration or if he truly has “figured it out” and we just finally saw the real Carlos Pena. I can’t answer that question, but I can tell you that he will penciled in to the middle of the order will be counted on to deliver big-time offense for the Rays yet again.
Though I think that it’s foolish to expect ANY player to hit 46 home runs in a season, is a 35-40 homer season with similar walk and on-base totals a totally ludicrous expectation? I don’t think so.
One issue the Rays may need to contend with is the lack of a bonafide backup should something happen to him. Word has trickled out that Rocco Baldelli has been working at first base, and I’ve long contested that Jonny Gomes’ best shot to stick with the team for the long-term is to learn how to play first base as well. Apart from that, would you really trust Joel Guzman to play every day at first? He might be adequate, but I’m not sure that he’s an everyday solution if Pena is lost for a significant amount of time. The best bet is to just hope that nothing happens to him.
Best-case scenario: Exactly what you saw in 2007. If he were to put up identical numbers, the Rays would be downright giddy. I’m not sure that he could physically do more than that.
Worst-case scenario: Remember 2002? (.242./.316/.448, 19 HR) Yeah, that would be pretty bad. Let’s hope that doesn’t happen.
Did You Know? As a junior at Northeastern University in 1998, he batted .342 (50-for-146) with 45 runs, seven doubles, a triple, 13 home runs, 52 RBI and 12 stolen bases.
Tags: Carlos Pena, Spotlight
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