VFTB

Posts Tagged ‘Kosuke Fukudome’

Saturday Notes

Saturday, February 23rd, 2008

Inside the Ivy has a Q & A (Source) with former first round pick in 2005, Mark Pawelek. You might remember that Pawelek injured himself last season when he tripped over his Playstation 3 in the middle of the night. As a result, he fractured his radial head in his non-throwing arm. He’s had two seasons now and has disappointed in both. This year he’s been working on his control as well as conditioning. I have to wonder what happens if he struggles again this season. Because he’s a first round pick I think he earns a big of extra patience, but eventually you have to begin to call an audible much like what happened to Bobby Brownlie.

Baseball America had their recent edition of the Cubs Organization Report (Source) on Tuesday and the first line made me laugh. “Don’t worry. Rocky Roquet is OK.” My first thought was that not only do most fans not know Roquet was injured at the end of the AFL this off-season, but most have probably never even heard of Roquet to begin with. In response to his hernia injury, Roquet said:

“It was nothing too serious, but something that needed to be taken care of,” he said. “I tried working through it for the most part. I worked through it in August and September. It was no problem. After a month in the fall league it was acting up and it wasn’t worth risking further injury. I had surgery the first week in November and I’m back fully now. Everything is working out.”

Ryan Dempster is slated to start the first Cactus League game on the 28th (Source). I’ve seen people get upset about that. I just don’t see how spring training news means that much to people. If I could, I would make it so no spring training news was ever released. It’s useless. Veterans that have their spots locked up are working on new things, so their number should be taken with a grain of salt. Invitees and players on the bubble are playing hard, but oftentimes are facing less than ML ready competition, so their numbers aren’t particularly accurate either. I’m just waiting for March 31st. That’s the day that matters to me.

Kosuke Fukudome is set to hit third in the lineup until tomorrow when he’ll be hitting 5th and then on Tuesday when he’s hitting leadoff. In other words, Lou has no idea what the Opening Day lineup is going to look like, and I’m OK with that. Why should he know already? He’s never seen Fukudome face a live ML pitcher in a game situation before. Give it time and quit pestering the guy.

Don’t forget that we are now giving you the chance to make your voice heard in the form of diaries. Don’t be thrown off by the name, a diary is essentially a blog within a blog. It’s a podium for you to make your opinions heard by tens of thousands of readers each month. Simply click on the contribute icon in the right sidebar to get registered now. Also, don’t forget to sign up for the site using an RSS reader or your e-mail address. All information on that is located in the left sidebar.

Temper expectations on Fukudome

Friday, January 25th, 2008

A lot of Cub fans I know are pumped about Kosuke and his ability to both hit for power and get on base. I admit to being more of a pessimist than an optimist, but I must warn you, don’t expect too much!

I agree its easy to get excited about a .438 OBP, .653 SLG, and 31 homers in 496 at bats last year in Japan for Fukudome. And in 2005 (injured in a lot of ‘06) a .401 OBP, .601 SLG, with 34 homers in 528 at bats. Great numbers. But that is Japan folks.

Let’s look at some career numbers of some other highly regarded Japanese imports. Career numbers may not be the best way to look at it, but I think it still holds true even when looking at recent performance. Career numbers just makes it easier on me while I waste my employers dollars!

Hideki Matsui
Japan: .304/.413/.582. Over 35 homers for 7 straight years.
America: .295/.371/.485. Averages just under 25 homers a year.

Ichiro
Japan: .355/.418/.524. Annual homers in the teens, topped at 25.
America: .333/.379/.437. Homers topped at 15, single digits 5 of 7 years.

Kaz Matsui
Japan: .309/.362/.484. Hit 36 and 33 homers his last two years there.
America: .272/.325/.387. 17 homers in over 1300 at bats.

Akinori Iwamura
Japan: .296/.365/.512. Hit 32 and 44 homers his last two years there.
America: .285/.359/.411. Only first year…hit 7 homers in 491 at bats.

So what do these guys have in common? The drop in SLG is nearly 100 points in each case. The drop in OBP is 30-40 points except in Iwamura’s case. So, what do I expect out of Kosuke Fukudome?

Japan: .302/.388/.537

I think a .290/.365/.455 line would make sense (maybe even optimistic!) when comparing to these other prized imports.

And guess what? 290/365/455 is Matt Murton, who makes less than $500k!