View From The Bleachers

March 27, 2008

Two Outs With The Bases Loaded…

Filed under: General — Joe Aiello @ 7:29 pm

Over the past month or so, Brandon and I have been previewing each team with bloggers on the podcast and closing by asking them if they were in that situation with the game tied in the bottom of the 9th if they would pinch hit for their star to bring in a midget. Most say no, but a few said they would, based on how midgets have performed in the past (1 plate appearance and 1 walk)

I decided to use Baseball Reference’s tool Play Index to take a look at how our stars have faired with two outs and the bases loaded, regardless of inning, in their career. Here were my findings:

(Plate Appearances / HR / RBI / AVG / OBP / SLG)

Soriano: 45 / 3 / 28 / .262 / .311 / .500

Ramirez: 52 / 2 / 34 / .255 / .327 / .511

Lee: 51 / 2 / 24 / .152 / .235 / .326

Jones: 55 / 1 / 34 / .291 / .291 / .400

Ouch, if there is such a thing as being clutch, it doesn’t seem like we’ve got guys that fit the mold in that situation. Let’s compare them to someone widely considered to be clutch, David Ortiz. Here are his career numbers in that same situation:

Ortiz: 66 / 4 / 57 / .317 / .379 / .650

What does this mean for this season? I have no earthly idea. Draw from it any whatever conclusions you will. I just found it interesting and thought I’d share.

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Joe Aiello is the founder of View From the Bleachers and one of the lead writers. Growing up in Chicago, he fondly remembers attending games in the bleachers before that was the popular thing to do. Currently Joe resides in North Carolina with his wife and three kids and helps people protect their assets as an independent insurance agent. Connect with Joe via Twitter / Facebook / E-mail

  • Tim Daloisio

    I answered this question in the Red Sox preview for the podcast and went with Ortiz over the midget. Have your stats proved me right? Interestingly enough, I also thought that if I needed a walk, who would be better served to draw it, the midget, Kevin Youkilis, or J.D. Drew?

  • Mike

    This question has nothing to do with this post. What time does the Ernie Banks statue dedication ceremony start?

  • Jobu

    I wasn’t able to find the exact split, but let’s not forget DeRosa who’s hit a very respectable: 57 AB/ 2 HR/ 54 RBI/.386/.439 /.544 with the bags full in his career.

    I’m already looking forward to the first time ‘Dome is walked to load the bases and bring up DeRosa!

  • Brad

    Why even bother with putting Jones up there? He isn’t on the team anymore. Plus, it is clear that the Cubs were not good in those situations the last couple of years. Luck? Maybe. Skill, probably not. Everyone knows that Lee, Ramirez, and Soriano are very good hitters. Not quite David Ortiz, but who really is.

  • boomer

    its 50 at bats. Anything can happen in 50 at bats. Like the previous poster with DeRosa. Does that mean Derosa steps it up with the bases loaded? No. Its just he has done well is this small 50 at bat sample.

    Give these guys 600 at bats in these situations and they’ll probably all hit about what they would in a normal 600 at bat season.

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