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October 2017

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MLB Postseason Predictions

Written by , Posted in General

The postseason is finally here, with nine teams looking to dethrone the Cubs. In this article I’ll go over the four teams with the best chance to reach the World Series and predict the matchup for the Fall Classic.
American League
Cleveland Indians (102-60, American League Central Champions)
Runs: 818 (6th)
Batting Average: .263 (5th)
On Base Percentage: .339 (2nd)
Slugging Percentage: .449 (3rd)
ERA: 3.30 (1st)
Quality starts: 84 (3rd)
WHIP: 1.16 (2nd)
BAA: .236 (3rd)
Key Players
Jose Ramirez (.318, 29 HR, 83 RBI)
Francisco Lindor (33 HR, 89 RBI)
Edwin Encarnacion (38 HR, 107 RBI)
Carlos Carrasco (18-6, 3.29 ERA, 1.10 WHIP)
Corey Kluber (18-4, 2.25 ERA, 0.87 WHIP)
Cody Allen (2.94 ERA, 30 saves)
Houston Astros (101-61, American League West Champions)
Runs: 896 (1st)
Batting Average: .282 (1st)
On Base Percentage: .346 (1st)
Slugging Percentage: (.478 1st)
ERA: 4.12 (11th)
Quality starts: 67 (18th)
WHIP: 1.27 (8th)
BAA: .240 (6th)
Key Players
Jose Altuve (.346, 24 HR, 81 RBI)
George Springer (.283, 34 HR, 85 RBI)
Carlos Correa (.314, 24 HR, 84 RBI)
Dallas Keuchel (14-5, 2.90 ERA, 1.12 WHIP)
Brad Peacock (13-2, 3.00 ERA, 1.19 WHIP)
Justin Verlander (5-0, 1.06 ERA, 0.65 WHIP)
Ken Giles (2.30 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 34 saves)

 

National League
Los Angeles Dodgers (104-58, National League West Champions)
Runs: 770 (12th)
Batting Average: .249 (22nd)
On Base Percentage: .334 (6th)
Slugging Percentage: .437 (8th)
ERA: 3.38 (2nd)
Quality starts: 68 (16th)
WHIP: 1.15 (1st)
BAA: .228 (1st)
Key Players
Justin Turner (.322, 21 HR, 71 RBI)
Cody Bellinger (39 HR, 97 RBI)
Yasiel Puig (28 HR, 74 RBI)
Clayton Kershaw (18-4, 2.31 ERA, 0.95 WHIP)
Alex Wood (16-3, 2.72 ERA, 1.06 WHIP)
Kenley Jansen (5-0, 1.32 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, 41 saves)

 

Chicago Cubs (92-70, National League Central Champions)
Runs: 822 (4th)
Batting Average: .255 (16th)
On Base Percentage: .338 (4th)
Slugging Percentage: .437 (7th)
ERA: 3.95 (7th)
Quality starts: 77 (8th)
WHIP: 1.28 (9th)
BAA: .238 (4th)
Key Players
Kris Bryant (.295, 29 HR, 73 RBI)
Anthony Rizzo (32 HR, 109 RBI)
Kyle Schwarber (30 HR, 59 RBI)
Jake Arrieta (14-10, 3.53 ERA, 1.22 WHIP)
Wade Davis (2.30 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 32 saves)

American League Championship Series
The Indians will face the winner of the Twins vs. Yankees Wild Card game while the Astros take on the Red Sox. The Indians will have no trouble against the Twins or Yankees while the Astros will have a hard time against the Red Sox but will eventually prevail.

5Dimes will have odds, make sure to review them before wagering on the postseason. The Indians will have home field advantage and they have more postseason experience but the Astros have the better offense and the addition of Justin Verlander will be the X-factor in this series. These two teams are extremely evenly matched but Verlander has been unhittable in five starts with the Astros and he’ll be the difference here.
National League Championship Series
The Dodgers have to play the winner of the Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Wild Card game while the Cubs battle the Nationals. The Dodgers will have home field advantage through the postseason because they finished with the best record in the majors and I see them advancing against either the Rockies or the Diamondbacks while the Cubs have the edge over the Nationals when it comes to offense and postseason experience.

There’s a reason why the Dodgers finished with the best record in the majors while the Cubs had some bumps down the road but closed the season strong. Look for more hard-fought games in this rematch from last year’s National League Championship series. The Cubs know what it takes to win at this stage but the Dodgers have the edge pitching-wise and the better team overall, so look for them to get some revenge and reach the World Series. I hope I’m wrong though, as I want the Cubbies to go all the way again…
World Series matchup: Astros vs. Dodgers

 

  • Adam Peters

    I wouldn’t be so sure about the Dodgers. They have a history of choking and if they draw the Diamondbacks, the D-Backs have won their last 6 games against the Dodgers, outscoring them 40-13 in the two series, and 19-2 in the last 3 game sweep.

    Boston-Houston will be interesting. A lot of the starters involved have poor postseason records. Verlander has had some success, but has also stunk it up in the postseason. In eleven postseason series he’s had four very good ones and seven stinkers where his ERA was over 5.00 David Price has a career 5.54 ERA in 9 postseason series, and he has been awful in his last three. Likewise, Rick Porcello has a career 5.66 postseason ERA.

    • Bryzzo1744

      Price is going to be used as a reliever. I think he could be this year’s Andrew Miller.

  • Doc Raker

    I don’t see how you can discount the Nationals or either wild card team, they all have a shot.

    • Bryzzo1744

      If the nationals win the World Series, they will go the route of the Cubs last year. Winning in spite of the dust bag.

  • Common Sense

    Agreed you can’t forget about the wildcard teams, it would be completely unsurprising to see the DBacks vs Yankees in the world seres — however do not forget that the home wildcards are just 3-7 in the two-team wildcard era
    Having said that, I’m expecting Cubs vs DBacks and Astros vs Indians, with the Indians beating the DBacks in the series. Would love to be wrong and see a rematch but AZ seems like the dark horse team this year with enough stud pitchers and hitters to carry them through

  • Brad Lyerla

    It looks to me like the Dodgers lost the magic in the final months of the regular season. They certainly have an impressive roster, but they are trending badly. My gut is that they are unlikely to make it to the League Championship series.

    I am sticking with the Cubs and Houston in the Series. And the Cubs sweep.

    • Seymour Butts

      I could write a couple of paragraphs saying the same thing, but for brevity, I agree with Brad.

      • Jerry in Wisconsin

        But it is easier to pick apart paragraphs than brevity.

  • Adrian Eric Varona

    I agree, I think the Dodgers hype train has lost steam going into the playoffs. Dbacks are going to surprise a lot of people. What are the two teams that MLB would hate to be in the world series? Any thoughts?

    • Bryzzo1744

      Arizona or Colorado vs Minnesota. Bc none of them are big markets, have a national following or any good stories. Everyone else is either a big market, has a national following (for or against), or has a good story.

      • Paul Molitor’s Mom

        Not a good story? My son’s team lost 100 games last year! It’s a great story. Get a clue.

      • Bryzzo1744

        I meant historic and folkloric stories. Like 1908

      • Jerry in Wisconsin

        You mean being the first team in history to make the playoffs after losing 100 games the year before is not historic? I see you have no use for history either.

      • Bryzzo1744

        To me it’s not a big storyline. There are teams that go from last place to playoffs the next year a lot. We lost 96 games in 2006 and then won the division in 2007. It can be historic, but it’s not a juicy storyline like the other teams. Since Minnesota has been knocked out, there are no boring storylines in the AL. Yankees and Red Sox are obvious, Cleveland hasn’t won since 1948, and Houston is rallying the city after Harvey.

      • Kyle

        What if Houston played the Mets in the World Series, and Matt Harvey beat them in game 7? Every single over-inflated head at ESPN would explode.

      • Jerry in Wisconsin

        I bet they all would be seeing Harvey the imaginary bunny on the field if that would have happened.

      • Bryzzo1744

        Harvey demolishes Houston again

  • King In The Nawth

    In the Wild Card Round it’s Twins over Yankees and Rockies over Diamondbacks. In the ALDS the Indians knock out the Twins and the Red Sox drop the Astros. In the NLDS the Cubs and Rockies move on. The World Series is going to be bad ass but the Red Sox will beat the Cubs in 6 or 7.

    • Michael S.

      Your crystal ball seems to be a bit broken so far there, friend…

      • Jerry in Wisconsin

        He used Joe’s ipad not a crystal ball.

      • Michael S.

        Well, if Joe’s iPad has the Cubs making the World Series…we’re in big trouble.

      • King In The Nawth

        Not off to a hot start.

  • Michael S.

    Hendricks starts Game 1…then the lefties (Lester/Quintana)…then Jake if we need him.

    I like it.

    • Bryzzo1744

      I wonder if Lackey will be on the roster in case Arrieta’s hamstring doesn’t cooperate.

      • Michael S.

        That’d be the sensible thing. Hopefully they announce the full roster soon.

    • I’m so pleased. Never in a million years did I think Maddon would do the right thing and pick Hendricks for game 1.

      • Jerry in Wisconsin

        Let’s just hope he doesn’t put the B-Squad behind him out of habit.

      • Bryzzo1744

        Or give him a quick hook

  • Doc Raker

    Jimi gets game 1, the Cubs are on the right track. Maddon is showing the confidence in Jimi that he deserves. Jimi is the future of this rotation and he has earned this opportunity to start game 1. Jimi has been our best pitcher recently, he has been Cy Young his last few starts and he deserves this start. Lester has been in consistent and although Lester has a lot of playoff experience let’s remember Jimi pitched the clinching game of the NLCS in Wrigley Field last October. To me pitching that clinching game is more nerve racking than pitching in the World Series. It is that penultimate game that can get you there or not and with the memory of 2003 in everyone mind that game verse Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers was impressive, he faced the minimum and did not allow a baserunner past second base. Then he pitched game 7 of the World Series and pitched beautifully, he was removed earlier than he should of been but the Cubs won game 7. Jimi can handle pressure. Jimi is the right pitcher for game 1.

    • Kyle Hendricks Mom

      His name is Kyle. If I had wanted people to call him Jimi, I’d have named him Jimi.

      • Seymour Butts

        Dear Mrs Hendricks, you are new around here so I understand your confusion. Several members of our eclectic family fight a constant struggle VERSUS reality. It is not mean spirited, but instead springs from exuberance.
        We all (well, most of us) realize his real name is Kyle. We would like to take the opportunity to thank you for having him.

      • Kyle

        I’m OK with Doc calling him Jimi, otherwise I get confused and think he’s talking about me and how I pitched in game 7.

      • You were excellent!

      • You could go by KYLE1744 to remove confusion.

      • Doc Raker

        Excuse me Mrs Hendricks while I kiss the sky